Counter-Trend Trade

Blue line = Take Profit

Black line = Entry Point

Red line = Stop Loss

From the chart, we can see an uptrend wave pattern formed with LL-LH-HL-HH, and right after the HH point, the next low happened to be at the price of the previous HL point. From that, I can assume there is a fairly strong support level at that price, thus stoploss had been set few pips below that support level.

However, this was a counter-trend entry. The general trend was bearish today, and I am going Long. Therefore I only entered the market after a support level was formed, for assurance that it is not going to head back downwards easily. 

The take profit level which I had set is very close to the previous high wave point. This is mainly due to the facts that 

1) The trade is a counter-trend trade,

2) S1 level will be acting as a resistance level, and

3) London market will be closing in an hour time. 

Update: Take Profit Hit

Monday, The Day With Questions

Why do I describe Monday as the day with questions? Because we are unable to determine whether the market will be going uptrend or downtrend with technical analysis. The chart we will be looking at for this day is broken, as the door to the forex market has only just been re-opened. 

From the Euro 1H chart on the left, look at the 2 areas on the chart circled in red, we can see a 'gap' formed. This gap was formed when the market re-opened on Sunday evening (EST). Most probably the cause of the gap is due to news reported on the weekends, and having an effect on the currency rate when the market was closed. 

We will be able to have a better look on the gap with the 15M chart. The news that were reported while the market was closed led to an uncertainty on the trend that would be formed when the market re-opens. Therefore, traders would usually avoid keeping their trades open over the weekend, knowing the risk and uncertainty they will be facing. 

*Look at the red trendline on Friday's market. 

If anyone has entered short he would have earned a neat 200 pips or even more. But this sudden great fall was not supported by any news given in ForexFactory.

Friday, The Untouchable Day

Do a search on any forex forum regarding Friday, you could easily find comments on not to trade on this day by many traders, and claims from some veteran traders that they either make less trade or none at all. 

I myself, have had suffered on Friday due to many trades lost. Even through constant reminder to myself not to trade on this day, it is uncontrollable when you are looking at the candle stick chart and see a potential setup for entry. 

The market on Friday tends to be unstable and unpredictable. As the day is the last opening day for the week before the market closes, access and control to traders' open trades would be denied on the weekends. 

Also, there are news events that will cause volatile movements on this day. An example would be the Non-Fall Payroll news event occurs on every first friday of the month. 

If you have the intention to trade on this day, do approach and monitor the market closely. 

*Refer to next post for an example of a market chart on Friday. 

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Trade of the Day

Entered short in EUR/USD. From yesterday, we can see that the market was kinda bearish. 

Red Line = Stop Loss

Black Line = Entry Point

Blue Line = Take Profit

As from the chart, we can see that there's double top, and strong resistance form was formed on the price area around M3. Thus I put stoploss some prices above M3 line. 

Take profit was deemed to be at yesterday low. However, I might want to close a percentage at the line M2, or at Friday's low, to secure part of my profit.  

Update: Take Profit Hit.