Monday, March 30, 2009

Counter-Trend Trade

Blue line = Take Profit
Black line = Entry Point
Red line = Stop Loss

From the chart, we can see an uptrend wave pattern formed with LL-LH-HL-HH, and right after the HH point, the next low happened to be at the price of the previous HL point. From that, I can assume there is a fairly strong support level at that price, thus stoploss had been set few pips below that support level.

However, this was a counter-trend entry. The general trend was bearish today, and I am going Long. Therefore I only entered the market after a support level was formed, for assurance that it is not going to head back downwards easily. 

The take profit level which I had set is very close to the previous high wave point. This is mainly due to the facts that 
1) The trade is a counter-trend trade,
2) S1 level will be acting as a resistance level, and
3) London market will be closing in an hour time. 

Update: Take Profit Hit

Monday, The Day With Questions

Why do I describe Monday as the day with questions? Because we are unable to determine whether the market will be going uptrend or downtrend with technical analysis. The chart we will be looking at for this day is broken, as the door to the forex market has only just been re-opened. 

From the Euro 1H chart on the left, look at the 2 areas on the chart circled in red, we can see a 'gap' formed. This gap was formed when the market re-opened on Sunday evening (EST). Most probably the cause of the gap is due to news reported on the weekends, and having an effect on the currency rate when the market was closed. 

We will be able to have a better look on the gap with the 15M chart. The news that were reported while the market was closed led to an uncertainty on the trend that would be formed when the market re-opens. Therefore, traders would usually avoid keeping their trades open over the weekend, knowing the risk and uncertainty they will be facing. 

*Look at the red trendline on Friday's market. 
If anyone has entered short he would have earned a neat 200 pips or even more. But this sudden great fall was not supported by any news given in ForexFactory.

Friday, March 27, 2009

Friday, The Untouchable Day

Do a search on any forex forum regarding Friday, you could easily find comments on not to trade on this day by many traders, and claims from some veteran traders that they either make less trade or none at all. 

I myself, have had suffered on Friday due to many trades lost. Even through constant reminder to myself not to trade on this day, it is uncontrollable when you are looking at the candle stick chart and see a potential setup for entry. 

The market on Friday tends to be unstable and unpredictable. As the day is the last opening day for the week before the market closes, access and control to traders' open trades would be denied on the weekends. 

Also, there are news events that will cause volatile movements on this day. An example would be the Non-Fall Payroll news event occurs on every first friday of the month. 

If you have the intention to trade on this day, do approach and monitor the market closely. 

*Refer to next post for an example of a market chart on Friday. 

Thursday, March 26, 2009

Search & Subscribe

Have you found something new after loading the page?
Yes, it's the Search & Subscribe features available now. 

From these add-ons, you would be able to,
  1. search content from the blog and forex related websites using Google Custom Search, and
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*Subscription through e-mails is yet to be put up. Please wait for some days. 

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Trade of the Day

Entered short in EUR/USD. From yesterday, we can see that the market was kinda bearish. 

Red Line = Stop Loss
Black Line = Entry Point
Blue Line = Take Profit

As from the chart, we can see that there's double top, and strong resistance form was formed on the price area around M3. Thus I put stoploss some prices above M3 line. 

Take profit was deemed to be at yesterday low. However, I might want to close a percentage at the line M2, or at Friday's low, to secure part of my profit.  

Update: Take Profit Hit. 

Saturday, March 21, 2009

Forex Market Hours

The Forex Market operates 24 hours, but not throughout the week. 
It opens from Sunday evening - Friday afternoon EST 

There are 4 different sessions during the market opening, and these are; 

Tokyo
GMT 0.00 - GMT 9.00
London
GMT 7.00 - GMT 16.00
New York
GMT 12.00 - GMT 21.00
Sydney
GMT 21.00 - GMT 6.00

These timings are the market opening and closing during non-Daylight Saving period, between March - November. The exact dates will depend according to the country you reside in. 

Wednesday, March 18, 2009

Trade of the Day

I entered Long on EUR/JPY at the price 128.40 

Black Line = Enter Price
Red Line = Stop Loss

From the chart, we can see higher-low formed, based on the Elloitte Wave pattern, and with reference to the 1-Hour SHI channel line, it shows as an upwards trend. 

Next looking at the indicators shown at the bottom of the chart, all indicators are supporting Long. QQE is rising above 50, and CCI has turned blue.  

Update: Stoploss Hit. Ends up as a lost trade

After 3 Months

Today is the day 3 months after, since I had started live trading. From today onwards, I will be posting screenshots of my trades triggered. 

Tuesday, March 17, 2009

Before Live: Step 4

Step 4: before you enter live in forex trading, determine and only......

After completing all the 3 steps listed, you are now ready to open a live account. But before you decide to open a live account, do a check on your broker reputation by reading reviews posted by the other traders. You may uncover stuff and information which you have never been aware of. There can be surprises happening in live trading, but not during trading on demo platform. 

It is also important to understand how your broker works regarding funding/withdrawing capital to/from your account. The method of funding is essentially through bank wire transfer. However some brokers may accept other methods of funding, such as through the use of Paypal services. Thus, make a wise choice by determining which method of funding is the most beneficial to choose to. A hint here would be to look at the transfer fees that is going to be incurred. Likewise, take note on how you can withdraw your earnings too. 

One last important note you should look out for is whether your broker charges any fee on triggering a trade. The fee has a direct impact on whether you are in a winning or losing postion, when your trade closes. If you think that the fee imposed might lead to a high chance of being at a disadvantage position for every trade you trigger, you may wish to consider using another online broker, that doesn't impose a fee on triggering of trades. 

Last but not least, do not invest all your savings in forex, or large amount for the first time! Remember, this is an investment, and risks of losing all your invested capital can happen. Also you will be experiencing feelings which are totally different when trading live, compared to previous few months when you are trading on demo.

Monday, March 16, 2009

Before Live: Step 3

Step 3: hit on the forex forums. There are experienced traders who are......

Forex forums are great places to search for both answers and questions. Discussions and analysis on the market and news for various pairs can be found easily. There are also traders who are willing to share their own trading systems, or their custom made indicators. Not only that, forums also provide news information and real-time statistics that may cause major movement to the market. 

The forum I am using currently is ForexFactory, and there are definitely other forums available to the public and which you prefer to stick around with. I would recommend the beginners to pick a trading system from these forums which you like, adapt to the system after testing, and determine if you would like to make any changes to suit your trading style. This way, you save the trouble and time from thinking hard on how to build a trading system from scratch. There are just too many indicators available, and different combinations can be formed when these indicators are put together. 

Saturday, March 14, 2009

Before Live: Step 2

Step 2: try out demo trading. Almost every good broker provides a demo trade platform......

It is important to try out the demo trade platform provided by the broker you are interested in. Through demo trading, not only will you have a taste of how forex trading is like, but you also get to accustom yourselve to the platform system your broker is using. It helps to prevent or minimize silly mistakes that you will make if you have jumped into live trading right from the start. 

An example of silly mistake would be entering into the wrong trade position that you had intended to enter. Such mistakes could have caused you to suffer monetary loss in live trading, but not in demo trading when virtual money is used. 

Different brokers uses different platforms, and some brokers have their own customized platforms, whereas others might be implementing MT4 charting with their own system. 
The functions that are provided by each broker's platform can varies too. 

Therefore do try out the broker's demo trading platform to check your comfortability and whether the functions of their platform fulfill your needs, before you make a decision of entering live trading with the broker.

Friday, March 13, 2009

Before Live: Step 1

Step 1, know what exactly is forex. The information can be found......

I had done searches via the internet, and I came upon this website which provides tutorials and knowledge regarding forex, BabyPips School. It is referred by many other websites and forums, and I personally find the tutorials extremely helpful in understanding forex trading.

You may locate BabyPips School link in the sidebar, for tutorials and guide. (scroll the pages if you don't see it)

Almost everything covered in BabyPips is important for one's knowledge before starting trading in forex. Therefore be sure to complete the tutorials when you have the time.

Here are highlights which I find them most crucial to a beginner in forex trading:
1) Learn to read the Quotes, understand Long and Short,
2) How to choose your Forex Broker,
3) Know how to read Candlestick charts, identify Candlesticks Patterns, and Chart Patterns,
4) Understand Support & Resistance, and Elliott Wave Theory,
5) Keep in mind of Market Trading Hours and Money Management,
6) Difference of Fundamental and Technical Trading.

Once again, I would like to point out that these are just highlights I had suggested, it is important to go through every tutorial found on BabyPips.

Thursday, March 12, 2009

Before I Started Forex Trading

I entered live in forex trading on 18 December 2008. Before I decided to enter live, there are a number of things which I had done.
Entered Live: Trading with Capital Invested (real money)

Step 1: know what exactly is forex. The information can be found through searches on the internet. There are even free online tutorials to guide the greenhorns.

Step 2: try out demo trading. Almost every good broker provides a demo trade, whereby you can have a taste of trading using virtual money. Also all the quotes in demo trading are given per real-time quotes by the broker.

Step 3: hit on the forex forums. There are experienced traders who are sharing their trading system on the forums, search these systems, find the one which suits your style and able to help you gain from the demo trades.

Step 4: before you enter live in forex trading, determine and only invest the amount of money that you are willing to lose. Understand how your broker works, from demo trading in step 2 and read every info that may concern you as an account holder on the broker's website.

For the next few posts, I will be focusing on details for each step, and how I had completed them.

Wednesday, March 11, 2009

My Forex Blog

It has been near 3 months since I started live in forex trading. However I am still currently in a loss position. And as of today, this blog is created to write my journal in forex trading. It serves as a record and reminder to myself, and also to share it with you, whom are interested in forex trading.